Risk magazine's premier derivatives and risk management conference: Derivatives & Risk Management EuropeMonte Carlo, 5-8 June 2006
Untitled Document
Programme
Day Two: Wednesday 7June 2006 | Download the programView Day Two At-A-Glance
8.00 Registration and coffee
9.00 Chairman’s opening remarks: Nick Sawyer, Editor, RISK MAGAZINE
Presentation of Risk Award for Quant of the Year 2006 to Vladimir Piterbarg, BARCLAYS CAPITAL
9.10
KEYNOTE
Keynote address: Managing pension funds in the 21st Century
• Fair value accounting and adverse market conditions have changed the ball game
• ATP’s transformation since 2001
• What will it take to succeed in the coming years?
• ”Pension fund separation theorem”: pursue liability hedging, alpha and beta independently; dynamic risk budgeting
• Role of ALM and derivatives
• Success will require more than liability driven investments
Lars Rohde, Chief Executive officer, ATP

9.50
PANEL
Plenary address: What the high performance institutions do differently!
• Based on studies completed by Accenture research and our experience in working with leading institutions, Accenture has identified the common characteristics shared by leading organizations
• These characteristics include their approach to risk management in their organization, their focus on performance management, shareholder value, and asset optimization
• Market leading institutions have shown a remarkable ability to adapt to complex changes in business cycles, operating conditions and strategies
• This talk outlines the detail associated with these observations, and provides a number of case studies, which illustrate how institutions can achieve enhanced shareholder value returns
Dr Stephen Christie, Global Managing Director, Financial Services, Finance and Performance Management, ACCENTURE
10.30 Morning break and opportunity to visit the exhibition
Click to go directly to a stream:
Stream 1: INNOVATIONS IN DERIVATIVES DEALING:The latest frontiers in derivatives trading for the credit and equity markets
Stream 2: THE LANDSCAPE FOR INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS & CORPORATE RISK MANAGERS
Stream 3: MANAGING RETAIL RISK
Stream 4: QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS: THE CUTTING EDGE IN FINANCIAL ENGINEERING: Advanced modelling analysis
STREAM ONE: INNOVATIONS IN DERIVATIVES DEALING: The latest frontiers in derivatives trading for the credit and equity markets STREAM TWO: THE LANDSCAPE FOR INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS & CORPORATE RISK MANAGERS
11.00 Chairman’s opening remarks
Maurizio Ferconi, Managing Director, Head of FInancial Engineering, PUTNAM INVESTMENTS
Chairman’s opening remarks
Drago Indjic, Project Manager, BNP Paribase Hedge Fund Center, LONDON BUSINESS SCHOOL


11.10 Masterclass: Structured equity products on alpha strategies and thematic indices
• Alpha strategies as a new underlying
- identifying trading strategies that generate alpha
- examples: seasonality, large v. small cap, HOLT
- backtesting and statistical significance
- structuring, trading, and hedging products based on alpha strategies
• Thematic indices as a new underlying
- identifying macro and micro trends
- structuring and trading challenges
Kevin Chang, Director and International Head of Derivatives Solutions, CREDIT SUISSE
Lionel Fournier, Director and Head of Equity and Hybrid Structuring Europe, CREDIT SUISSE

Speaker Sponsor: Credit Suisse

HEDGE FUNDS
Panel discussion:
Can hedge funds retain their
superior returns if the industry
keeps getting larger?

• Is there a natural saturation point?
• Are the regulations posing a threat to returns?
• What does the rest of 2006 hold for the hedge fund industry?
Moderator: Christopher Jeffery, Deputy Editor, RISK MAGAZINE
Georg Grodzki, Global Head of Investment Grade Credit, RBC
PK Satish, Chief Risk Officer, DKR CAPITAL
Florian Stärk, Head of Risk Management, MEAG, MUNICH ERGO ASSET MANAGEMENT


11.50 Masterclass: Arbitraging equity baskets and credit baskets
• Trading strategies
• CDS products
• Short equity
Ben Wilkinson, Managing Director, Global Head of Structured Credit and Equity Financial Products Trading, BANK OF AMERICA
Masterclass: How to mitigate hedge fund risk in a global asset portfolio: The structuring route
• The nature of hedge fund risk
• Risk monitoring, transparency and diversification
• Optionality vs CPPI
Christophe Baurand, Global Head of Sales-Structured Alternative Investments, SG CORPORATE AND
INVESTMENT BANKING
12.30 Lunch and opportunity to visit the exhibition
14.00

Masterclass: Innovations in using credit derivatives
• Models of default events: The good, the bad and the ugly
• Spread movements near default
• Beyond the “insurance policy” and “market hedge” paradigms
• Systematic market versus systematic credit versus true idiosyncratic risk
• Expected surprises and unexpected lack of surprise
• The unbearable lightness of recovery rate theory
• Credit derivative liquidity around default events
Aaron Brown, Executive Director and Head of Credit Risk Architecture, MORGAN STANLEY

Panel discussion: Diversification or specialisation?
• Portfolio optimisation: qualitative vs. quantitative?
• How to choose between fund of funds, multi strategy funds and investable indexes
Drago Indjic, Project Manager, BNP Paribas Hedge Fund Center, LONDON BUSINESS SCHOOL
Malcolm Kemp, Executive Director, Quantitative Research, THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT
Michel Girardin, Member of Senior Management, UBP AM
Moderator: Christopher Jeffery, Deputy Editor, RISK MAGAZINE


14.40
CMS SPREAD OPTIONS
Masterclass: New angles on trading CMS spread options
Guillaume Conzineau, Global Head of Fixed Income Derivatives Trading, IXIS CORPORATE & INVESTMENT

Speaker Sponsor: IXIS

Masterclass: Risk management in a multi strategy hedge fund
• Capital budgeting
• Stress loss and VAR
• Scenario analysis
• Optimal capital allocation
Malcolm Kemp, Executive Director, Quantitative Research, THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT
15.20 Afternoon break and opportunity to visit the exhibition
15.40

Panel discussion: Derivatives processing: Solving the credit derivatives backlog – have the recent measures helped?
• Problems with trading con? rmations and notification
• Creation of standards
• Back office advances
Moderator: Nick Sawyer, Editor, RISK MAGAZINE
Julian Day, Policy Director, ISDA
Maurizio Ferconi, Managing Director, Head of Financial Engineering, PUTNAM INVESTMENTS
Further panellists to be confirmed

Masterclass: A joint analysis of market and credit risk; a
simulation based approach for the long-term investor

• A simulation methodology
• Time varying migration matrices
• Time varying credit spreads
• Optimal Diversification
Ken Nyholm, Economist, Risk Management Division, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK


16.20
ASSET ALLOCATION
Masterclass: Dynamic asset allocation strategies and non-linear
payoffs in ALM

• From surplus optimization to liability driven investment
• Extended CPPI and OBPI strategies in ALM
• The role of hedge funds and structured products in ALM
Lionel Martellini, Professor of Finance, EDHEC and Director, EDHEC RISK AND ASSET MANAGEMENT
RESEARCH CENTRE
17.00 Chairman’s closing remarks
17.10 End of summit
back to top
STREAM THREE: MANAGING RETAIL RISK STREAM FOUR: QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS: THE CUTTING EDGE IN
FINANCIAL ENGINEERING: Advanced modelling analysis
11.00 Chairman’s opening remarks
Geoff Rubin, Vice President, Economic Capital Group, CAPITAL ONE
Chairman’s opening remarks
Daniel Sommer, Partner, KPMG


11.10
PROSPECTUS DIRECTIVE
Masterclass:
The implementation of the prospectus directive– a regulator’s view

• Overview of the products in question
• How did the French regulator deal with these products before the implementation of the directive?
• Changes brought on by the directive
• Regulator approach regarding the content of advertising material
Patrice Aguesse, Director, AMF
Masterclass: The latest developments in term structure stochastic volatility models
• Efficient calibration techniques
• Low-dimensional Markovian and LMM-type models with stochastic volatility
• Extensions for callable CMS spreads
• Extensions to interest-rate/FX hybrids
Vladimir Piterbarg, Head of Fixed Income Quantitative Research, BARCLAYS CAPITAL


11.50
BASEL II
Masterclass:
How will Basel II impact retail banking portfolios?

• Retail lending and credit scoring
• Treatment of revolving credit card balances
• Incorporating additional drawings on credit card accounts
• Aligning internal capital changes to the regulatory requirements
Geoff Rubin, Director, Economic Capital Group, CAPITAL ONE
VOLATILITY
Masterclass:
The use of mean-variance optimisation for currency portfolio construction

• Refining currency forecasts to make them useable in a mean-variance optimiser
• Discriminating between model signals
• Creating portfolios that make sense
• Risk control ex-ante versus ex-post
Kenrick Ramlochan, Director FX Analysis, ABN AMRO
12.30 Lunch and opportunity to visit the exhibition
14.00 Masterclass: Credit default forecasting of retail portfolios
• Common forecasting methodologies success and failures
• Advanced modelling approach for scenario-based forecasting
• Compliance with Basel II requirements for retail portfolio stress testing
Robert Sanders, Global Solutions Leader, MASTERCARD
Masterclass: Long/short portfolios and barrier options
• Inadequacy of lognormal distributions for long/short portfolios
• Maximum drawdowns (absorbing barriers)
• Analytic approximations
• Effects of jump diffusion processes
• Effective risk management of long/short portfolios
Kenneth Winston, Global Chief Risk Officer, MORGAN STANLEY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT


14.40 Masterclass: Updating yield curve trades for better relative value
• Butterfly trades with principal components
• Updating principal components with new information
• Estimation of time varying principal components on the yield curve
• Improving butterfly trades with time varying weights
Devajyoti Ghose, Vice President, Asset Liability Management, FREDDIE MAC
Masterclass: Spectral methods for path-dependents and applications to equity, FX and fixed income derivatives
• Functional lattices
• Semi analytical methods for path dependants
• Options on realised variance and the • VIX
• Cliquets
• Callable CMS
• Range accruals
• Target redemption notes
Claudio Albanese, Professor, IMPERIAL COLLEGE LONDON
15.20 Afternoon break and opportunity to visit the exhibition
15.40
MORTGAGES
Panel discussion:
Is the next mis-pricing scandal in mortgages?

• Floating rate mortgages
• Prepayment modelling
• Credit worthiness criteria
• Using the right models
Dong Qu, Head of Quantitative Product Group, ABBEY FINANCIAL MARKETS
Bruce Porteous, Head of Financial Risk, STANDARD LIFE BANK
Devajyoti Ghose, Vice President, Asset Liability Management, FREDDIE MAC
Moderator: Geoff Rubin, Director, Economic Capital Group, CAPITAL ONE
Masterclass: Swaption smile and CMS adjustment
• The swaption smile quoted by market
• Calibration with the SABR functional form
• Introducing the CMS convexity adjustments
• Valuing CMS convexity adjustments with the SABR functional form
• A joint calibration to swaptions and CMS swap spreads
Fabio Mercurio, Head of Financial Models, BANCA IMI


16.20
ASSET ALLOCATION
Masterclass: Dynamic asset allocation strategies and non-linear
payoffs in ALM

• From surplus optimization to liability driven investment
• Extended CPPI and OBPI strategies in ALM
• The role of hedge funds and structured products in ALM
Lionel Martellini, Professor of Finance, EDHEC and Director, EDHEC RISK AND ASSET MANAGEMENT RESEARCH CENTRE
17.00 Chairman’s closing remarks
17.10 End of summit
back to top
Principal Sponsor

Accenture

Lead Sponsors

KPMG
Société Générale

Cocktail Sponsor

Reuters

Speaker Sponsor

Credit Suisse
DST International
IXIS

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